• Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
搜索

Author:

Zhong, Shiquan (Zhong, Shiquan.) | Hu, Juanjuan (Hu, Juanjuan.) | Ke, Shuiping (Ke, Shuiping.) | Wang, Xuelian (Wang, Xuelian.) | Zhao, Jingxian (Zhao, Jingxian.) | Yao, Baozhen (Yao, Baozhen.)

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Effective bus travel time prediction is essential in transit operation system. An improved support vector machine (SVM) is applied in this paper to predict bus travel time and then the efficiency of the improved SVM is checked. The improved SVM is the combination of traditional SVM, Grubbs' test method and an adaptive algorithm for bus travel-time prediction. Since error data exists in the collected data, Grubbs' test method is used for removing outliers from input data before applying the traditional SVM model. Besides, to decrease the influence of the historical data in different stages on the forecast result of the traditional SVM, an adaptive algorithm is adopted to dynamically decrease the forecast error. Finally, the proposed approach is tested with the data of No. 232 bus route in Shenyang. The results show that the improved SVM has good prediction accuracy and practicality.

Keyword:

support vector machine regression Grubbs' test method bus travel time prediction adaptive algorithm

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhong, Shiquan]Tianjin Univ, Coll Management & Econ, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Ke, Shuiping]Tianjin Univ, Coll Management & Econ, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Hu, Juanjuan]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Civil Engn, Beijing 100022, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Hu, Juanjuan]Transport Management Inst, Minist Transport Peoples Republ China, Beijing 101601, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Wang, Xuelian]Hebei Univ Technol, Sch Management, Tianjin 300130, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Zhao, Jingxian]Tianjin Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Tianjin, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Ke, Shuiping]Tianjin Univ, Coll Management & Econ, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China

Show more details

Related Keywords:

Related Article:

Source :

PROMET-TRAFFIC & TRANSPORTATION

ISSN: 0353-5320

Year: 2015

Issue: 4

Volume: 27

Page: 291-300

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:174

JCR Journal Grade:4

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 6

SCOPUS Cited Count: 10

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 3

Online/Total:1621/5394704
Address:BJUT Library(100 Pingleyuan,Chaoyang District,Beijing 100124, China Post Code:100124) Contact Us:010-67392185
Copyright:BJUT Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd.