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Author:

Wang Wei (Wang Wei.) (Scholars:王伟) | Su JingYu (Su JingYu.) (Scholars:苏经宇) | Ma DongHui (Ma DongHui.) (Scholars:马东辉) | Tian Jie (Tian Jie.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE PKU

Abstract:

This paper describes a non-linear information dynamics model for integrated risk assessment of complex disaster system from an evolution perspective. According to the occurrence and evolution of natural disaster system with complicated and nonlinear characteristics, a non-linear information dynamics mode is introduced based on the maximum flux principle during modeling process to study the integrated risk assessment of complex disaster system. Based on the non-equilibrium statistical mechanics method, a stochastic evolution equation of this system is established. The integrated risk assessment of complex disaster system can be achieved by giving reasonable weights of each evaluation index to stabilize the system. The new model reveals the formation pattern of risk grade and the dynamics law of evolution. Meanwhile, a method is developed to solve the dynamics evolution equations of complex system through the self-organization feature map algorithm. The proposed method has been used in complex disaster integrated risk assessment for 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions in China mainland. The results have indicated that the model is objective and effective.

Keyword:

maximum flux principle (MFP) self-organization feature map (SOFM) generalized information entropy risk evolution complex disaster system

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Wang Wei]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistance & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Su JingYu]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistance & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Ma DongHui]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistance & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang Wei]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Civil Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Tian Jie]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Civil Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • 苏经宇

    [Su JingYu]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistance & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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Source :

SCIENCE CHINA-TECHNOLOGICAL SCIENCES

ISSN: 1674-7321

Year: 2012

Issue: 12

Volume: 55

Page: 3344-3351

4 . 6 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

JCR Journal Grade:2

CAS Journal Grade:3

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 16

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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