China　is　the　largest　aluminum　producer　and　consumer　in　the　world.　Given　the　energy　intensive　nature　of　pro-cessing　aluminum,　China　faces　enormous　pressure　to　reduce　greenhouse　gas　(GHG)　emissions.　The　trends　of　GHG　emissions　from　aluminum　production　in　China　from　2021　to　2060　were　obtained　by　building　a　technologic　roadmap　and　multifactor　analysis　model　containing　the　factors　of　energy　structure,　technology　improvement,　and　product　structure　under　9　scenarios.　Based　on　the　cost　estimation　model,　the　cost　of　technology　application　was　calculated.　Meanwhile,　the　variation　in　the　drivers　of　energy-related　GHG　emissions　over　time　for　different　scenarios　was　identified　by　adopting　the　logarithmic　mean　divisia　index　(LMDI)　approach.　The　results　indicated　that　the　GHG　emissions　of　1　t　aluminum　production　cycle　showed　a　decreasing　trend　for　all　9　scenarios　but　could　not　be　completely　eliminated;　hence,　carbon　capture,　utilization　and　storage　(CCUS)　technology　should　be　considered　for　integration　into　the　production　system　to　achieve　zero　emissions.　The　application　of　technologies　could　bring　benefits　along　with　the　carbon　market　development　of　China　and　obtain　cobenefits　from　energy　savings　and　other　pollution　eliminated.　Production　volume　and　energy　structure　were　positive　factors　in　the　increase　in　GHG　emissions,　and　emission　intensity,　energy　intensity,　and　product　structure　offset　the　growth　in　GHG　emissions.　Finally,　proposals　were　provided　for　a　zero-carbon　development　path　for　aluminum　production　in　China.