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Author:

Chu, Haibo (Chu, Haibo.) | Wang, Zhuoqi (Wang, Zhuoqi.) | Nie, Chong (Nie, Chong.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Accurate and reliable monthly streamflow prediction plays a crucial role in the scientific allocation and efficient utilization of water resources. In this paper, we proposed a prediction framework that integrates the input variable selection method and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The input selection methods, including autocorrelation function (ACF), partial autocorrelation function (PACF), and time lag cross-correlation (TLCC), were used to analyze the lagged time between variables. Then, the performance of the LSTM model was compared with three other traditional methods. The framework was used to predict monthly streamflow at the Jimai, Maqu, and Tangnaihai stations in the source area of the Yellow River. The results indicated that grid search and cross-validation can improve the efficiency of determining model parameters. The models incorporating ACF, PACF, and TLCC with lagged time are evidently superior to the models using the current variable as the model inputs. Furthermore, the LSTM model, which considers the lagged time, demonstrated better performance in predicting monthly streamflow. The coefficient of determination (R2) improved by an average of 17.46%, 33.94%, and 15.29% for each station, respectively. The integrated framework shows promise in enhancing the accuracy of monthly streamflow prediction, thereby aiding in strategic decision-making for water resources management.

Keyword:

monthly streamflow prediction data-driven models Yellow River LSTM lagged time analysis

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chu, Haibo]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Civil Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Wang, Zhuoqi]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Civil Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Nie, Chong]Chinese Res Inst Environm Sci, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Chu, Haibo]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Civil Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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Related Keywords:

Source :

WATER

Year: 2024

Issue: 4

Volume: 16

3 . 4 0 0

JCR@2022

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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