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Author:

Wang, Ying (Wang, Ying.) | Li, Fangyu (Li, Fangyu.) | Wang, Di (Wang, Di.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus

Abstract:

Deep learning (DL) has emerged as a powerful tool for predicting the remaining useful lifetime (RUL) of components and systems. However, there are two challenges. First, DL-based methods require a sufficient number of labelled samples, while the number of run-to-failure units in practical is often small due to the high cost and time-consuming life test. Second, it is desirable to provide the prediction uncertainty of RUL for maintenance decision-making. To tackle above issues, we propose a novel few-shot RUL prediction model with a hypernetwork structure incorporating uncertainty quantification and calibration (Hyper-UC). The proposed Hyper-UC uses a shared feature embedding network and a unit-specific weight to model the mapping from sensor signals to RUL, and a generative network is designed to learn the meta-knowledge of generating distributions over the unit-specific weights. To accurately provide the predictive uncertainty, the Hyper-UC systematically models two types of uncertainty: epistemic uncertainty and aleatoric uncertainty. In the online phase, the unit-specific weights of in-service units are obtained through calibration, and subsequently the predictive distribution of the RUL can be obtained. The proposed method is evaluated to have superior model performance than the benchmark methods in a case study using the C-MAPSS dataset. © 2024 IEEE.

Keyword:

Network embeddings Prediction models Zero-shot learning Generative adversarial networks Benchmarking Deep learning Uranium compounds Decision making

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Wang, Ying]Shanghai Jiao Tong University, School of Mechanical Engineering, Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, Shanghai; 200240, China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Fangyu]Beijing University of Technology, Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Engineering Research Center of Digital Community, Ministry of Education, Beijing Laboratory for Urban Mass Transit, Beijing, China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Di]Shanghai Jiao Tong University, School of Mechanical Engineering, Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, Shanghai; 200240, China

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ISSN: 2161-8070

Year: 2024

Page: 994-999

Language: English

Cited Count:

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SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 2

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