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Author:

Zhang, Li (Zhang, Li.) | Li, Wen Jing (Li, Wen Jing.) | Qiao, Jun Fei (Qiao, Jun Fei.) (Scholars:乔俊飞)

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Abstract:

Short-term prediction of water demand provides basic guarantee of water supply system operation and management. In this study, an effective model for daily water demand forecasting is proposed. Firstly, principle component analysis (PCA) is utilized to simplify the complexity and reduce the correlation between influence variables, and the score values of selected principle components (PCs) turn into the irrelevant input data of fuzzy neural network (FNN), which models the prediction of water demand. Moreover, an improved Levenberg-Marquardt (ILM) algorithm is employed to optimize the parameters of FNN simultaneously. Quassi-Hessian and gradient matrices could be calculated directly without the storage and multiplication of whole Jaccobian matrix, therefore the problems of heavy computing burden and limited memory space could be solved. At last, contrast experiments are implemented to demonstrate the fuzzy neural network with Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm (ILM-FNN) has better prediction performance and capability to handle practical issues. © 2017 Technical Committee on Control Theory, CAA.

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Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang, Li]Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Li]Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Li, Wen Jing]Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Li, Wen Jing]Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Qiao, Jun Fei]Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 6 ] [Qiao, Jun Fei]Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Beijing; 100124, China

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Source :

ISSN: 1934-1768

Year: 2017

Page: 3925-3930

Language: English

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 2

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 2

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