In　recent　years,　users　replace　their　mobile　phone　more　and　more　frequently,　therefore,　the　number　of　waste　mobile　phones　has　been　increasing　year　by　year.　In　2014,　the　number　was　more　than　1　billion　units.　Indium,　that　has　unique　optical　transparency　and　electrical　conduction　properties,　is　a　necessary　element　in　the　screen　of　mobile　phone.　The　potential　yield　of　indium　recycled　from　waste　mobile　phone　is　considerable.　Recycling　indium　from　waste　mobile　phones　can　alleviate　the　constraints　of　indium　resources　while　gaining　great　economic　benefit.　However,　there　is　no　relevant　research　work　to　evaluate　the　potential　yield　of　indium　in　the　waste　cell　phone.　This　paper　explores　the　main　factors　that　constraint　the　efficiency　of　recycling　by　predicting　potential　yield　of　indium　recycled　from　waste　mobile　phone,　and　puts　forward　the　corresponding　policy　recommendations.　The　results　are　based　on　the　Logistic　model　and　Stock-base　model　and　a　survey.　The　results　show　that　the　potential　yield　of　indium　recycled　from　waste　mobile　phone　from　2015　to　2035　will　increase　from　8.7　tonnes　to　10.2　tonnes　in　China.　However,　the　recovery　rate　of　waste　mobile　phone　is　very　low,　the　actual　available　amount　is　far　lower　than　the　potential　yield　of　indium.　The　main　factors　that　constrain　the　efficiency　of　recycling　are:　(1)　it　is　difficult　to　guarantee　information　security;　(2)　the　existing　recycling　system　is　not　perfect;　(3)　the　technology　of　recycling　indium　needs　to　be　improved.　©　2016　Trans　Tech　Publications,　Switzerland.