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Abstract:
For the influence factors' complexity of urban post-earthquake fire, the attribute recognition theory and the evidence theory were proposed for the potential risk analysis of urban post-earthquake fire. First, the model of attribute recognition based on the principle of maximum entropy was established to eliminate all kinds of uncertainty to max; secondly, the evaluation indicators for urban post-earthquake fire were presented in terms of urban disaster hazard, exposure and vulnerability of disaster bearing body, disaster prevention and mitigation capability. Meanwhile, the grading standards of evaluation index were given; finally, potential risk analysis for post-earthquake fire within a city was provided to validate its efficiency and feasibility by the evidence theory. The results indicate that the middle and higher risk area will reach 50.20%, 61.00% and 64.90% respectively when VI, VII, VIII-degree earthquake occurs. In this study, we verify the application of attribute recognition and evidence theory for potential risk assessment of urban post-earthquake fire and provide a measurable and achievable approach for the potential risk assessment of urban post-earthquake fire.
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Disaster Advances
ISSN: 0974-262X
Year: 2017
Issue: 11
Volume: 10
Page: 1-12
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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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30 Days PV: 0