• 综合
  • 标题
  • 关键词
  • 摘要
  • 学者
  • 期刊-刊名
  • 期刊-ISSN
  • 会议名称
搜索

作者:

Qiao, Junfei (Qiao, Junfei.) (学者:乔俊飞) | Cai, Jie (Cai, Jie.) | Han, Honggui (Han, Honggui.) (学者:韩红桂) | Cai, Jianxian (Cai, Jianxian.)

收录:

EI Scopus SCIE

摘要:

This study aims to develop a second order self-organizing fuzzy neural network (SOFNN) to predict the hourly concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) for the next 24 h at a regional background station called Shangdianzi (SDZ) in China from 14 to 23 January 2010. The structure of the SOFNN was automatically adjusted according to the sensitivity analysis (SA) of model output and the parameter-learning phase was performed applying a second order gradient (SOG) algorithm. Principal component analysis (PCA) was employed to select the dominating factors for PM2.5 concentrations as the input variables for the SOFNN. It was found that the dominating variables (relative humidity (RH), pressure (Pre), aerosol optical depth (AOD), wind speed (WS) and wind direction (WD)) extracted by PCA agreed well with the characteristics of PM2.5 at SDZ where the PM2.5 concentrations were heavily affected by meteorological parameters and were closely related to AOD. The forecasting results showed that the proposed SOG-SASOFNN performed better than other models with higher coefficient of determination (R-2) during both training phase and test phase (0.89 and 0.84, respectively) in predicting PM2.5 concentrations at SDZ. In conclusion, the developed SOG-SASOFNN provided satisfying results for modeling the hourly distribution of PM2.5 at SDZ during the studied period.

关键词:

dominating factors PM2.5 predicting principal component analysis SOG-SASOFNN

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Qiao, Junfei]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Cai, Jie]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Han, Honggui]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Cai, Jianxian]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Qiao, Junfei]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Computat Intelligence & Intellige, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Cai, Jie]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Computat Intelligence & Intellige, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Han, Honggui]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Computat Intelligence & Intellige, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Cai, Jianxian]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Computat Intelligence & Intellige, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Cai, Jie]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;[Cai, Jie]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Computat Intelligence & Intellige, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

查看成果更多字段

相关关键词:

来源 :

ATMOSPHERE

ISSN: 2073-4433

年份: 2017

期: 1

卷: 8

2 . 9 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: GEOSCIENCES;

ESI高被引阀值:89

中科院分区:4

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 13

SCOPUS被引频次: 18

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

近30日浏览量: 2

在线人数/总访问数:266/2892460
地址:北京工业大学图书馆(北京市朝阳区平乐园100号 邮编:100124) 联系我们:010-67392185
版权所有:北京工业大学图书馆 站点建设与维护:北京爱琴海乐之技术有限公司