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作者:

Liu, Chaofeng (Liu, Chaofeng.) | Su, Jingyu (Su, Jingyu.) (学者:苏经宇) | Zuo, Xiangjun (Zuo, Xiangjun.) | Wang, Wei (Wang, Wei.) (学者:王伟)

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Scopus SCIE

摘要:

Regional vulnerability research is helpful in understanding the formation mechanism of regional disaster risk deeply. Owing to the pressure from earthquake disasters occurred frequently in the whole world, the assessment of regional vulnerability to seismic hazards is a focus in current research of seismic disaster risk. This paper presents a nonlinear dynamic model for assessing regional vulnerability to seismic hazards based on maximum flux principle (MFP). Firstly, a vulnerability index system was designed for the urban agglomeration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei in China, and the index data were obtained based on the Statistical Yearbook and other materials. The vulnerability indexes constituted a complex system, and the indexes were taken as the components of the complex system. Secondly, based on the information theory and MFP, a dynamic equation that controls the generation and evolution of the complex system was derived theoretically. The regional vulnerability evaluation was realized by conferring reasonable weight to the indexes to make the system become stable. Finally, the self-organizing neural network was used to simulate the mechanism model to implement vulnerability assessment. The assessment results showed that Langfang and Chengde were at high vulnerability level; Qinghuangdao, Cangzhou and Zhangjiakou were at moderate vulnerability level; Baoding, Shijiazhuang, Beijing and Tangshan were at lower vulnerability level; Tianjin was at low vulnerability level. It reveals that the investment in disaster prevention was in an unbalanced situation among all the cities in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan area.

关键词:

Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan area Dynamic evolution Maximum flux principle Nonlinear system Regional vulnerability Seismic hazards Vulnerability index

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, Chaofeng]Hebei Univ Technol, Coll Civil Engn, Tianjin 300401, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Liu, Chaofeng]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistance & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Su, Jingyu]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistance & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Wei]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistance & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Zuo, Xiangjun]Hebei Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Management, Tianjin 300401, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Liu, Chaofeng]Hebei Univ Technol, Coll Civil Engn, Tianjin 300401, Peoples R China

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来源 :

NATURAL HAZARDS

ISSN: 0921-030X

年份: 2015

期: 1

卷: 75

页码: 831-848

3 . 7 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: GEOSCIENCES;

ESI高被引阀值:131

JCR分区:2

中科院分区:3

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 8

SCOPUS被引频次: 8

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

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