• 综合
  • 标题
  • 关键词
  • 摘要
  • 学者
  • 期刊-刊名
  • 期刊-ISSN
  • 会议名称
搜索

作者:

Zhang Hong-Bin (Zhang Hong-Bin.) | Sun Xiao-Duan (Sun Xiao-Duan.) | He Yu-Long (He Yu-Long.)

收录:

EI Scopus SCIE PKU CSCD

摘要:

In order to reveal the internal dynamic property of short-term traffic flow, the nonlinear analysis method is used to identify the chaotic property of traffic flow which is the basis for the prediction of the traffic flow time series. Traffic flow time series is reconstructed in phase-space based on chaos theory. The embedding dimension and delay time are first calculated via the C-C method. The correlative dimension of attractor is then calculated with the Grassberger-Procaccia method. The largest Lyapunov exponent of traffic flow set is calculated on the basis of the improved small data set method to verify the presence of the chaos in traffic flow time series. A novel multi-step adaptive prediction method is proposed to solve the problem of adjusting the filter parameters of the chaos local adaptive prediction method during traffic flow multi-step prediction. The traffic flow time series are found to have chaotic properties in different statistical scales of 2, 4, and 5 min and show that the improved small data set method can accurately evaluate the chaotic property for traffic flow time series, and that the multi-step adaptive prediction method is capable of effectively predicting its fluctuation, which provides a useful reference for traffic guidance and control.

关键词:

maximum Lyapunov exponent traffic flow multi-step adaptive prediction chaos

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang Hong-Bin]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Sun Xiao-Duan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [He Yu-Long]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhang Hong-Bin]Dezhou Univ, Sch Automobile Engn, Dezhou 253023, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Zhang Hong-Bin]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

电子邮件地址:

查看成果更多字段

相关关键词:

来源 :

ACTA PHYSICA SINICA

ISSN: 1000-3290

年份: 2014

期: 4

卷: 63

1 . 0 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: PHYSICS;

ESI高被引阀值:202

JCR分区:3

中科院分区:4

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 11

SCOPUS被引频次: 21

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

近30日浏览量: 0

在线人数/总访问数:108/4715144
地址:北京工业大学图书馆(北京市朝阳区平乐园100号 邮编:100124) 联系我们:010-67392185
版权所有:北京工业大学图书馆 站点建设与维护:北京爱琴海乐之技术有限公司