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作者:

Chi, Yuanying (Chi, Yuanying.) (学者:迟远英) | Guo, Zhengquan (Guo, Zhengquan.) | Zheng, Yuhua (Zheng, Yuhua.) | Zhang, Xingping (Zhang, Xingping.)

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摘要:

This paper investigates the development trends and variation characteristics of China's economy, energy consumption and carbon emissions from 2007 to 2030, and the impacts on China's economic growth, energy consumption, and carbon emissions under the carbon tax policy scenarios, based on the dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The results show that during the simulation period, China's economy will keep a relatively high growth rate, but the growth rate will slow down under the benchmark scenario. The energy consumption intensity and the carbon emissions intensity per unit of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will continually decrease. The energy consumption structure and industrial structure will gradually optimize. With the economic growth, the total energy consumption will constantly increase, and the carbon dioxide emissions are still large, and the situation of energy-saving and emission-reduction is still serious. The carbon tax is very important for energy-saving and emission-reduction and energy consumption structure optimization, and the effect of the carbon tax on GDP is small. If the carbon tax could be levied and the enterprise income tax could be reduced at the same time, the dual goals of reducing energy consumption and carbon emissions and increasing the GDP growth can be achieved. Improving the technical progress level of clean power while implementing a carbon tax policy is very meaningful to optimize energy consumption structure and reduce the carbon emissions, but it has some offsetting effect to reduce energy consumption.

关键词:

carbon emissions carbon tax dynamic CGE model energy consumption scenario simulation

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Chi, Yuanying]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100022, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Guo, Zhengquan]North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhang, Xingping]North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zheng, Yuhua]China Univ Min & Technol Beijing, Sch Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Guo, Zhengquan]North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beinong Rd 2, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China

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来源 :

SUSTAINABILITY

ISSN: 2071-1050

年份: 2014

期: 2

卷: 6

页码: 487-512

3 . 9 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: ENVIRONMENT/ECOLOGY;

ESI高被引阀值:211

JCR分区:3

中科院分区:4

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 35

SCOPUS被引频次: 34

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

近30日浏览量: 3

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