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作者:

Wang Wei (Wang Wei.) (学者:王伟) | Su JingYu (Su JingYu.) (学者:苏经宇) | Ma DongHui (Ma DongHui.) (学者:马东辉) | Tian Jie (Tian Jie.)

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摘要:

This paper describes a non-linear information dynamics model for integrated risk assessment of complex disaster system from an evolution perspective. According to the occurrence and evolution of natural disaster system with complicated and nonlinear characteristics, a non-linear information dynamics mode is introduced based on the maximum flux principle during modeling process to study the integrated risk assessment of complex disaster system. Based on the non-equilibrium statistical mechanics method, a stochastic evolution equation of this system is established. The integrated risk assessment of complex disaster system can be achieved by giving reasonable weights of each evaluation index to stabilize the system. The new model reveals the formation pattern of risk grade and the dynamics law of evolution. Meanwhile, a method is developed to solve the dynamics evolution equations of complex system through the self-organization feature map algorithm. The proposed method has been used in complex disaster integrated risk assessment for 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions in China mainland. The results have indicated that the model is objective and effective.

关键词:

complex disaster system generalized information entropy maximum flux principle (MFP) risk evolution self-organization feature map (SOFM)

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Wang Wei]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistance & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Su JingYu]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistance & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Ma DongHui]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistance & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang Wei]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Civil Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Tian Jie]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Civil Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • 苏经宇

    [Su JingYu]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistance & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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来源 :

SCIENCE CHINA-TECHNOLOGICAL SCIENCES

ISSN: 1674-7321

年份: 2012

期: 12

卷: 55

页码: 3344-3351

4 . 6 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: ENGINEERING;

ESI高被引阀值:138

JCR分区:2

中科院分区:3

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 16

SCOPUS被引频次: 8

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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