The　future　(2010-2020)　anthropogenic　volatile　organic　compounds　(VOCs)　emissions　in　China　were　projected　in　this　study　using　2005　as　the　reference　year.　The　projections　are　based　on　the　assumptions　of　a　lower　population　growth　rate　(less　than　1%),　continuous　economic　development　with　high　GDP　growth,　and　increased　urbanization.　The　results　show　that　the　national　VOCs　emissions　would　continuously　increase　from　19.4　Tg　in　2005　to　25.9　Tg　in　2020,　even　if　China＇s　legislative　standards　for　VOCs　emissions　are　implemented　effectively　in　the　future　(assumed　as　control　scenario　I).　The　contributions　of　various　emission　sources　were　found　to　differ　greatly　in　the　period　of　2010-2020.　Solvent　utilization　would　become　the　largest　contributor　rising　from　22%　to　37%,　along　with　an　increase　for　industrial　processes　from　17%　to　24%.　However,　road　vehicle　emissions　would　rapidly　decrease　from　25%　to　11%　due　to　the　strict　VOCs　emission　limit　standards　in　China,　along　with　the　decrease　for　stationary　fuel　combustion　from　23%　to　16%　caused　by　the　reduction　of　domestic　biofuel　consumption.　Additionally,　there　would　be　a　notable　divergence　among　provincial　emissions.　The　developed　eastern　and　coastal　regions　would　emit　more　VOCs　than　the　relatively　underdeveloped　western　and　inland　regions.　Moreover,　this　divergence　grows　in　the　future.　When　we　assumed　stricter　control　measures　for　solvent　utilization　and　industrial　processes　(control　scenario　II)　for　that　period,　the　projections　revealed　national　VOCs　emissions　per　year　would　remain　at　about　20　Tg.　if　exhaust　after-treatment　systems　are　installed　in　newly-built　factories　(after　2005)　for　the　most　important　industrial　sources,　and　the　market　shares　of　＂low/zero-VOCs＂　products　in　paints,　adhesives　and　printing　ink　raise　to　the　present　levels　of　developed　countries.　The　emission　abatements　of　the　two　types　of　measures　were　estimated　to　be　similar.　While　scenario　II　indicates　that　the　sectoral　and　provincial　differences　of　VOCs　emissions　would　still　exist,　they　would　be　smaller　than　in　scenario　I.　(C)　2011　Elsevier　Ltd.　All　rights　reserved.