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摘要:
In this study, a robust interval-based minimax-regret analysis (RIMA) method is developed and applied to the identification of optimal water-resources-allocation strategies under uncertainty. The developed RIMA approach can address uncertainties with multiple presentations. Moreover. it can be used for analyzing all possible scenarios associated with different system costs/benefits and risk levels without making assumptions on probabilistic distributions for random variables. In its solution process, an interval-element cost/benefit matrix can be transformed into an interval-element regret matrix, such that the decision makers can identify desired strategies based on inexact minimax regret (IMMR) criterion. Moreover, the fuzzy decision space is delimited into a more robust one through dimensional enlargement of the original fuzzy constraints. The developed method is applied to a case study of planning water resources allocation under uncertainty. The results indicate that reasonable solutions have been generated. They can help decision makers identify desired strategies for water-resources allocation with a compromise between maximized system benefit and minimized system-failure risk. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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来源 :
RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
ISSN: 0921-3449
年份: 2009
期: 2
卷: 54
页码: 86-96
1 3 . 2 0 0
JCR@2022
ESI学科: ENVIRONMENT/ECOLOGY;
JCR分区:2
中科院分区:1
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