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作者:

Li, Y. P. (Li, Y. P..) | Huang, G. H. (Huang, G. H..) | Nie, S. L. (Nie, S. L..) (学者:聂松林)

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EI Scopus SCIE

摘要:

In this study, an inexact multistage joint-probabilistic programming (IMJP) method is developed for tackling uncertainties presented as interval values and joint probabilities. IMJP improves upon the existing multistage programming and inexact optimization approaches, which can help examine the risk of violating joint-probabilistic constraints. Moreover, it can facilitate analyses of policy scenarios that are associated with economic penalties when the promised targets are violated within a multistage context. The developed method is applied to a case study of water-resources management within a multi-stream, multi-reservoir and multi-period context, where mixed integer linear programming (MILP) technique is introduced into the IMJP framework to facilitate dynamic analysis for decisions of surplus-flow diversion. The results indicate that reasonable solutions for continuous and binary variables have been generated. They can be used to help water resources managers to identify desired system designs against water shortage and for flood control, and to determine which of these designs can most efficiently accomplish optimizing the system objective under uncertainty.

关键词:

Dynamics Inexact optimization Joint probability Multistage Planning Scenario analysis Uncertainty Water resources

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Y. P.]Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Huang, G. H.]Univ Regina, Environm Syst Engn Program, Regina, SK S4S 0A2, Canada
  • [ 3 ] [Huang, G. H.]Beijing Normal Univ, Chinese Res Acad Environm Sci, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Nie, S. L.]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Mech Engn & Appl Elect Technol, Beijing 100022, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Li, Y. P.]Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China

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来源 :

WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT

ISSN: 0920-4741

年份: 2009

期: 12

卷: 23

页码: 2515-2538

4 . 3 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: ENVIRONMENT/ECOLOGY;

JCR分区:1

中科院分区:1

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 48

SCOPUS被引频次: 52

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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