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作者:

Chen, Cong (Chen, Cong.) | Zhang, Guohui (Zhang, Guohui.) | Yang, Jinfu (Yang, Jinfu.) (学者:杨金福) | Milton, John C. (Milton, John C..) | Alcantara, Adelamar Dely (Alcantara, Adelamar Dely.)

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SSCI Scopus PubMed

摘要:

Rear-end crashes are a major type of traffic crashes in the U.S. Of practical necessity is a comprehensive examination of its mechanism that results in injuries and fatalities. Decision table (DT) and Naive Bayes (NB) methods have both been used widely but separately for solving classification problems in multiple areas except for traffic safety research. Based on a two-year rear-end crash dataset, this paper applies a decision table/Naive Bayes (DTNB) hybrid classifier to select the deterministic attributes and predict driver injury outcomes in rear-end crashes. The test results show that the hybrid classifier performs reasonably well, which was indicated by several performance evaluation measurements, such as accuracy, F-measure, ROC, and AUC. Fifteen significant attributes were found to be significant in predicting driver injury severities, including weather, lighting conditions, road geometry characteristics, driver behavior information, etc. The extracted decision rules demonstrate that heavy vehicle involvement, a comfortable traffic environment, inferior lighting conditions, two-lane rural roadways, vehicle disabled damage, and two-vehicle crashes would increase the likelihood of drivers sustaining fatal injuries. The research limitations on data size, data structure, and result presentation are also summarized. The applied methodology and estimation results provide insights for developing effective countermeasures to alleviate rear-end crash injury severities and improve traffic system safety performance. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

关键词:

Traffic safety Decision table/Naive Bayes (DTNB) classifier ROC curve Decision rules Driver injury severity Rear-end crash

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, Cong]Univ New Mexico, Dept Civil Engn, Albuquerque, NM 87131 USA
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Guohui]Univ New Mexico, Dept Civil Engn, Albuquerque, NM 87131 USA
  • [ 3 ] [Yang, Jinfu]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Elect Informat & Control Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Milton, John C.]Washington State Dept Transportat, Qual Assurance & Transportat Syst Safety, Seattle, WA 98101 USA
  • [ 5 ] [Alcantara, Adelamar Dely]Univ New Mexico, Geospatial & Populat Studies Traff Res Unit, Albuquerque, NM 87106 USA

通讯作者信息:

  • [Zhang, Guohui]Univ New Mexico, Dept Civil Engn, Albuquerque, NM 87131 USA

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来源 :

ACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION

ISSN: 0001-4575

年份: 2016

卷: 90

页码: 95-107

ESI学科: SOCIAL SCIENCES, GENERAL;

ESI高被引阀值:122

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 0

SCOPUS被引频次: 108

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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