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作者:

Li, Jiangeng (Li, Jiangeng.) | Shao, Xingyang (Shao, Xingyang.) | Zhao, Huihong (Zhao, Huihong.)

收录:

CPCI-S

摘要:

With rapid modernization, air quality is becoming gradually deteriorate. To avoid the adverse effects of severe air pollution on human health, we need accurate real-time air quality prediction. The factors relevant to air pollutant concentration forecasting contain simultaneously numeric type (temperature etc.) and non-numeric type (wind direction etc.). Random Forest has many advantages, which includes it can deal with numeric features and non-numeric features. In this study, an online forecasting method based on Random Forest is proposed to predict the concentrations of three kinds of air pollutants (PM2.5, NO2, SO2), 24 hours in advance. The sliding window is used to take the recent data to retrain Random Forest prediction model and the well-trained models is used to predict the dependent variable at target moment. Before prediction model is trained, a variable selection method based on Random Forests (VSURF) is used to select the factors that are relevant to the forecast of air pollutant concentrations. We evaluate our method with dataset from Microsoft Research. Comparison with baseline methods shows that our method achieve state-of-art performance on air pollutant concentration forecasting. Experimental results also indicate that the features we selected using VSURF method are most important predictors for the prediction of three kinds of air pollutant concentrations.

关键词:

air quality forecasting feature selection online forecasting Random Forest (RF)

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Jiangeng]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Coll Automat, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Shao, Xingyang]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Coll Automat, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Li, Jiangeng]Beijing Key Lab Computat Intelligence & Intellige, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Shao, Xingyang]Beijing Key Lab Computat Intelligence & Intellige, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhao, Huihong]Dezhou Univ, Sch Electromech Engn, Dezhou 253023, Shandong, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Zhao, Huihong]Dezhou Univ, Clean Energy Res & Technol Promot Ctr, Dezhou 253023, Shandong, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Li, Jiangeng]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Coll Automat, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;[Li, Jiangeng]Beijing Key Lab Computat Intelligence & Intellige, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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来源 :

2018 37TH CHINESE CONTROL CONFERENCE (CCC)

ISSN: 2161-2927

年份: 2018

页码: 9641-9648

语种: 英文

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 8

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