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作者:

Liu, Bo (Liu, Bo.) (学者:刘博) | Shen, Libin (Shen, Libin.) | You, Huanling (You, Huanling.) | Dong, Yan (Dong, Yan.) | Li, Jianqiang (Li, Jianqiang.) (学者:李建强) | Li, Yong (Li, Yong.) | Lang, Jianlei (Lang, Jianlei.) (学者:郎建垒) | Gu, Rentao (Gu, Rentao.)

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摘要:

With the influence of extreme weather, road surface temperature (RST), which threatens the safety of people's travel, has attracted more and more attention to the government and citizens. However, traditional methods are hard to meet real-time requirements in forecasting RST. In order to improve the predictive accuracy of RST and meet the real-time requirement, this paper compares three different machine learning algorithms including, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO), Random Forest (RF) and Gradient Boosting Regression Tree (GBRT). Using the RST data and BJ-RUC (Beijing-rapidly update cycle) data during November 2012 and June 2015, the performance of three models is evaluated. The experimental results show that GBRT performs the best and its MSE is 6.7853.

关键词:

Gradient Boosting Regression Tree LASSO Random Forest road surface temperature

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, Bo]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Adv Innovat Ctr Future Internet Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Liu, Bo]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Sch Software Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Shen, Libin]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Sch Software Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Li, Jianqiang]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Sch Software Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Li, Yong]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Sch Software Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [You, Huanling]China Meteorol Adm, Inst Urban Meteorol, Beijing 100089, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Dong, Yan]Beijing Meteorol Serv Ctr, Beijing 100089, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Lang, Jianlei]Beijing Univ Technol, Key Lab Beijing Reg Air Pollut Control, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Lang, Jianlei]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Environm & Energy Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 10 ] [Gu, Rentao]Beijing Univ Posts & Telecommun, Sch Informat & Commun Engn, Beijing Lab Adv Informat Networks, Beijing 100876, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • 刘博

    [Liu, Bo]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Adv Innovat Ctr Future Internet Technol, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;[Liu, Bo]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Sch Software Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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来源 :

PROCEEDINGS OF THE 3RD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CROWD SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING (ICCSE 2018)

年份: 2018

语种: 英文

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 1

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