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作者:

Wang, Wei (Wang, Wei.) (学者:王伟) | Xia, Chenhong (Xia, Chenhong.) | Liu, Chaofeng (Liu, Chaofeng.) | Wang, Ziyi (Wang, Ziyi.)

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Scopus SCIE

摘要:

Aiming at solving the difficult problem of inconsistent single-method evaluation results in comprehensive disaster risk assessment, this paper presents an evaluation method based on a combination of the ranking value and the evaluation value. First, the seven methods of the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE), the set pair analysis (SPA), the improved grey target analysis (IGT), the fuzzy stochastic simulation (FSS), the grey relational degree analysis (GRA), the extension matter element evaluation (EME), and the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) are used to conduct urban comprehensive disaster risk assessment. Second, to ensure the degree of correlation between individual evaluation methods and make full use of more information to achieve the purpose of complementary advantages, the Kendall synergy coefficient, the Spearman rank correlation coefficient, and the comprehensive support coefficient are used as the single-method compatibility consistency test standards. The combined evaluation methods of the cyclic correction model and support model are used to combine the single evaluation results, and the highly coordinated comprehensive disaster risk ranking value and evaluation value are obtained through repeated tests, thus constructing a highly scientific and reasonable dual combination evaluation model. Finally, through analysis and comparison of the final combined ranking and evaluation values of 31 provinces, municipalities directly under the central government and autonomous regions in China under the dual combination mode, it is verified that the dual combination idea can obtain evaluation results with high convergence and credibility, solve the problem of inconsistent evaluation results of multiple methods, provide a new research idea and method for measuring the comprehensive disaster risk of cities, and provide a scientific basis for efficiently serving comprehensive risk prevention management and various urban planning and construction work.

关键词:

Consistency test Combination evaluation method Comprehensive evaluation method Comprehensive disaster risk Cycle correction idea Support degree concept

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Wang, Wei]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Urban Planning, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Xia, Chenhong]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Urban Planning, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Ziyi]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Urban Planning, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Wei]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistances & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Liu, Chaofeng]Hebei Univ Technol, Coll Civil & Transportat, Tianjin 300401, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • 王伟

    [Wang, Wei]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Urban Planning, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;[Wang, Wei]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Earthquake Resistances & Disaster Reduct, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China;;[Liu, Chaofeng]Hebei Univ Technol, Coll Civil & Transportat, Tianjin 300401, Peoples R China

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来源 :

NATURAL HAZARDS

ISSN: 0921-030X

年份: 2020

期: 2

卷: 104

页码: 1181-1209

3 . 7 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: GEOSCIENCES;

ESI高被引阀值:99

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 11

SCOPUS被引频次: 13

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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