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摘要:
Emerging Technologies are often viewed as breakthrough innovations that radically change one or more industries. Many point out that these "new" technologies are evolved, rather than created, by gradual improvement and by combining existing technologies with knowledge and techniques in multiple fields. This paper goes further by interpreting innovation as a series of complex and dynamic multi-agent optimization processes, through which the fittest technologies emerge and dominate. The "optimization" concept in the paper emphasizes improvement (sometimes feasibility) rather than rigid optimality, and centered not necessarily upon a single, mathematical model. This broad optimization concept views innovation as complex search, learning, design and selection processes which can all be optimized. Technological innovation is then described as dynamic multi-agent optimization processes in which researchers, educators, inventors, engineers, managers, producers, investors, traders, customers and public administrators each continuously optimizes one's own objectives under individual resource constraints, while cooperating or competing with other actors. Finally, emerging technologies are interpreted as prominent outcomes out of these optimization processes. The purpose of treating innovation as special optimization processes is to justify and recommend the use of more recent optimization techniques (e. g. genetic algorithms and memetic algorithms) in simulating and predicting the trends in emerging technologies development.
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来源 :
INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON FRONTIERS OF ENERGY, ENVIRONMENTAL MATERIALS AND CIVIL ENGINEERING (FEEMCE 2013)
年份: 2013
页码: 36-44
语种: 英文
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