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作者:

Huang Lucheng (Huang Lucheng.) (学者:黄鲁成) | Yuan Yanhua (Yuan Yanhua.)

收录:

CPCI-S EI Scopus

摘要:

Emerging technology has a high degree of uncertainty and complexity, and these characteristics render the technology management and evaluation more difficult. This paper utilizes the concept of technology foresight to establish the index system of evaluating the industrialization potential of emerging technology, which is composed of 5 first-grade indexes and 25 second-grade indexes. Then with the help of SPSS tools, we use the principal component and cluster analysis model (PCA-CA) to do the objective and subjective evaluation on the 16 information and communication technologies (ICT) of the Olympic science and technology (S&T) projects. First, this method has reflected the non-linear relationship between the evaluation results and the index system, and reduced the participation and workload of the experts, so it reduces the subjectivity of the evaluation and has greatly enhanced the efficiency and scientific of emerging technology evaluation. Second, the evaluation results have a certain referential value, which can help business and management departments make policy decisions.

关键词:

industrialization potential principal component analysis (PCA) evaluation emerging technology cluster analysis (CA)

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Huang Lucheng]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Yuan Yanhua]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • 黄鲁成

    [Huang Lucheng]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China

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来源 :

2010 12TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTER MODELLING AND SIMULATION (UKSIM)

年份: 2010

页码: 317-322

语种: 英文

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 3

SCOPUS被引频次: 5

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

近30日浏览量: 2

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