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作者:

Yu Chunya (Yu Chunya.) | Cheng Weihu (Cheng Weihu.) (学者:程维虎)

收录:

CPCI-S CPCI-SSH

摘要:

In risk management, we often assess the credit risk for companies; especially study the default risk for companies with a high liability-to-asset rate. In this paper, logistic regression model is used to assess the listed companies' credit risk. Selecting listed companies' 63 financial indicators reflecting companies' credit characteristics as initial independent variables, we establish logistic regression model based on case-control data. We also determine financial indicators measuring listed companies' credit risk by hypothesis testing and factor analysis, and establish logistic regression model based on case-control data by changing different sample proportion of ST companies and non-ST companies. Finally, we can get the conclusion that predicted accuracy for logistic regression model based on case-control data with sample proportion 1:1; 1:2 is high. For risk assessment, it is an effective method to establish logistic regression model based on case-control data. It is more practical and the probability of committing Type I error or Type II error is also low.

关键词:

Credit Risk Financial Indicator Logistic Regression Model Case-control

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Yu Chunya]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Appl Sci, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Cheng Weihu]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Appl Sci, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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来源 :

ADVANCES IN MANAGEMENT OF TECHNOLOGY, PT 2

年份: 2010

页码: 69-73

语种: 英文

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