As　a　new　technology　for　the　utilization　of　renewable　energy,　water　resource　heat　pump　has　the　characteristics　of　energy　saving　and　environmental　protection.　But　its　application　prospect　also　has　many　uncertainties　in　China.　Based　on　the　scenario　planning　method,　this　paper　provides　a　description　of　the　prospect　of　water　resource　heat　pump　for　China.　With　the　influencing　factors　analysis,　the　suitable　response　strategies　are　presented,　and　then　the　best　scheme　development　of　water　resource　heat　pump　is　obtained.