Due　to　the　uncertainty　of　emerging　technologies　development　and　their　commercial　prospect,　it　has　important　significant　for　technology　investment　decision-making　on　how　to　judge　the　prospect　of　emerging　technology　commercialization.　Through　the　introduction　on　the　relationship　of　bibliometrics　and　industry　development,　at　first,　this　paper　illuminates　that　it　is　a　good　method　to　research　the　emerging　technology　commercial　prospect　by　using　bibliometrics　analysis　methodology;　then,　the　degree　of　emerging　technology　approaching　to　commercialization　is　illustrated　by　judging　the　technology　maturity,　at　last,　the　degree　of　emerging　technology　approaching　to　commercialization　success　is　analysis　by　judging　whether　the　environment　has　being　ready　based　on　bibliometrics　analysis　approach.