• Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
搜索

Author:

Lv, Haichen (Lv, Haichen.) | Yang, Xiaolei (Yang, Xiaolei.) | Wang, Bingyi (Wang, Bingyi.) | Wang, Shaobo (Wang, Shaobo.) | Du, Xiaoyan (Du, Xiaoyan.) | Tan, Qian (Tan, Qian.) | Hao, Zhujing (Hao, Zhujing.) | Liu, Ying (Liu, Ying.) | Yan, Jun (Yan, Jun.) | Xia, Yunlong (Xia, Yunlong.)

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE PubMed

Abstract:

Background: With the prevalence of cardiovascular diseases increasing worldwide, early prediction and accurate assessment of heart failure (HF) risk are crucial to meet the clinical demand. Objective: Our study objective was to develop machine learning (ML) models based on real-world electronic health records to predict 1-year in-hospital mortality, use of positive inotropic agents, and 1-year all-cause readmission rate. Methods: For this single-center study, we recruited patients with newly diagnosed HF hospitalized between December 2010 and August 2018 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University (Liaoning Province, China). The models were constructed for a population set (90:10 split of data set into training and test sets) using 79 variables during the first hospitalization. Logistic regression, support vector machine, artificial neural network, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting models were investigated for outcome predictions. Results: Of the 13,602 patients with HF enrolled in the study, 537 (3.95%) died within 1 year and 2779 patients (20.43%) had a history of use of positive inotropic agents. ML algorithms improved the performance of predictive models for 1-year in-hospital mortality (areas under the curve [AUCs] 0.92-1.00), use of positive inotropic medication (AUCs 0.85-0.96), and 1-year readmission rates (AUCs 0.63-0.96). A decision tree of mortality risk was created and stratified by single variables at levels of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (<0.068 mu g/L), followed by percentage of lymphocytes (<14.688%) and neutrophil count (4.870x10(9)/L). Conclusions: ML techniques based on a large scale of clinical variables can improve outcome predictions for patients with HF. The mortality decision tree may contribute to guiding better clinical risk assessment and decision making.

Keyword:

positive inotropic agents predictive modeling heart failure machine learning mortality readmission

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Lv, Haichen]Dalian Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Cardiol, 193 Lianhe Rd, Dalian 116014, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Yang, Xiaolei]Dalian Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Cardiol, 193 Lianhe Rd, Dalian 116014, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Hao, Zhujing]Dalian Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Cardiol, 193 Lianhe Rd, Dalian 116014, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Liu, Ying]Dalian Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Cardiol, 193 Lianhe Rd, Dalian 116014, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Xia, Yunlong]Dalian Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Cardiol, 193 Lianhe Rd, Dalian 116014, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Wang, Bingyi]Yidu Cloud Beijing Technol Co Ltd, Med Dept, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Du, Xiaoyan]Yidu Cloud Beijing Technol Co Ltd, Med Dept, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Wang, Shaobo]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Life Sci & Bioengn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Wang, Shaobo]Yidu Cloud Beijing Technol Co Ltd, AI Lab, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 10 ] [Yan, Jun]Yidu Cloud Beijing Technol Co Ltd, AI Lab, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 11 ] [Tan, Qian]Happy Life Technol Co Ltd, Med Dept, Beijing, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Xia, Yunlong]Dalian Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Cardiol, 193 Lianhe Rd, Dalian 116014, Peoples R China

Show more details

Related Keywords:

Source :

JOURNAL OF MEDICAL INTERNET RESEARCH

ISSN: 1438-8871

Year: 2021

Issue: 4

Volume: 23

7 . 4 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: CLINICAL MEDICINE;

ESI HC Threshold:75

JCR Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 17

SCOPUS Cited Count: 24

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

Affiliated Colleges:

Online/Total:793/5573802
Address:BJUT Library(100 Pingleyuan,Chaoyang District,Beijing 100124, China Post Code:100124) Contact Us:010-67392185
Copyright:BJUT Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd.