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There has been considerable research conducted in recent years into establishing relationships between crashes and various traffic flow characteristics in foreign countries, and progress which has been made in the modeling of crashes and traffic flow parameters was very rapid. Whereas in China, research in this field is very little due to the difficulty to collect the crash data and traffic flow data, so models about how the traffic flow parameters impact on safety are vague. This study clarified the relationship between volume to capacity ratio (V/C) and crash rate using 3 years crash and traffic flow data of a freeway. This relationship can be used as a basic reference to predict and prevent traffic accidents. The hourly 'crash rate model, having an independent variable of hourly V/C, was established by regression analysis, and the relationship between V/C ratio and crash rate was represented by a U-shaped curve. The crash rate is higher in the low hourly V/C range, and decreases with an increasing V/C ratio, and then increases as the V/C ratio increases. When the V/C is 0.58, the crash rate is the lowest.
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