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This study aims to clarify a dynamic optimal supply of parking permits considering the situation in which reservable and unreservable public parking facilities exist in an area simultaneously. We first mathematically established a stochastic optimal control model to minimize the expectation of the total time lost. We then analyzed the optimality condition, i.e., Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, by applying the dynamic programming principle. Finally, with the estimated parameters in the predetermined optimal value function, we obtained the analytic solution of the dynamic optimal supply strategy. The results show that the dynamic optimal supply strategy is a feedback control strategy, which means the proposed strategy is a function of queuing time. The dynamic optimal supply strategy can be divided into two patterns basing on the existence of queuing time. Taking the Guomao area in Beijing City as an example, the Monte-Carlo experiment results show that the dynamic optimal supply strategy can save 0.45~1.94 min/veh compared with the full supply strategy of parking permits. With the increase of the uncertainty in the parking permits holders' behavior, the average time-saving value increases, but the coefficient of variation decreases. Copyright © 2020 by Science Press.
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