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作者:

Xue, Huidan (Xue, Huidan.) | Li, Chenguang (Li, Chenguang.) | Wang, Liming (Wang, Liming.) | Su, Wen-Hao (Su, Wen-Hao.)

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SSCI Scopus SCIE

摘要:

Recently, the world has experienced striking economic and policy changes, and subsequent uncertainties have impacts on dairy trade price fluctuations. The Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) methodology was established in this paper to better understand international butter export prices transmission, the feedback between the economic context changes and price fluctuations, and the link between the global butter market, energy market, and other commodity markets. We assessed which key factors are typically associated with butter export price movements with regards to shocks to crude oil price, palm oil price, farm-gate raw milk price, exchange rates, and consumer price index (CPI) for food of the EU, New Zealand, the U.S., and the rest of world (RoW), respectively. Using generalized impulse response functions, this study found that decreases in farm-gate raw milk price could be swiftly transmitted to butter export prices of not only a home country but other foreign countries. However, palm oil price and crude oil price merely affects global butter export prices. We also found that U.S. dollar depreciations against the Euro will cause a decline in U.S. butter export price. It is concluded that butter export markets are not well-integrated, yet butter export prices of New Zealand and the U.S. are highly linked.

关键词:

generalized impulse response functions GVAR Global Vector Error Correction Model spatial price transmission

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Xue, Huidan]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Wang, Liming]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Li, Chenguang]Natl Univ Ireland, Univ Coll Dublin, Sch Agr & Food Sci, Dublin D04 V1W8, Ireland
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Liming]Univ Coll Dublin, Irish Inst Chinese Studies, Dublin D04 V18, Ireland
  • [ 5 ] [Su, Wen-Hao]China Agr Univ, Coll Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Xue, Huidan]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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来源 :

SUSTAINABILITY

年份: 2021

期: 16

卷: 13

3 . 9 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: ENVIRONMENT/ECOLOGY;

ESI高被引阀值:94

JCR分区:2

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 4

SCOPUS被引频次: 3

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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