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Although weather conditions significantly affect air pollutant concentrations, few quantitative studies have been conducted on the effects of long-term and seasonal changes in meteorology on air quality. Hence, in this study, the trends in Shandong Province, China, for six criteria pollutants (viz., sulfur dioxide [SO2], carbon monoxide [CO], particulate matter [PM] with an aerodynamic diameter of < 10 mu m [PM10], PM with an aerodynamic diameter of < 2.5 mu m [PM2.5], nitrogen dioxide [NO2], and ozone [O-3]) were analyzed for the period of 2013-2019, when overall emissions of air pollutants decreased, and the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF/Chem) was applied to evaluate the role of inter-annual and seasonal meteorological changes. Five of the six criteria pollutants exhibited a sharp drop in concentration until 2017 and a gradual decline afterward, with the maximum and minimum annual values occurring during winter and summer, respectively. In contrast, the level of O-3 rose between 2013 and 2019 and displayed the opposite seasonal trend. Also, the diurnal concentrations of the first five criteria pollutants showed a typical bimodal distribution, whereas those of the O-3 showed a typical unimodal distribution. Furthermore, a trimodal distribution was observed for the ratios between the diurnal PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations. Using 2013 as the baseline, the inter-annual meteorological changes accounted for only 3.4-18.6% of the decrease in the five criteria pollutants-with little effect on the O-3-between 2015 and 2019, indicating that emission control measures drove the long-term improvement in air quality during these years. However, seasonal meteorological factors, which favored diffusion during summer and winter but accumulation during spring and autumn, played a larger role in the short term for all six species, especially during winter, when they reduced concentrations (excluding those of SO2 in 2019 and O-3 altogether) by 6.5-31.0%.
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