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Author:

Yan, Jianzhuo (Yan, Jianzhuo.) | Xu, Tianyu (Xu, Tianyu.) | Yu, Yongchuan (Yu, Yongchuan.) | Xu, Hongxia (Xu, Hongxia.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

To further reduce the error rate of rainfall prediction, we used a new machine learning model for rainfall prediction and new feature engineering methods, and combined the satellite system's method of observing rainfall with the machine learning prediction. Based on multivariate correlations among meteorological information, this study proposes a rainfall forecast model based on the Attentive Interpretable Tabular Learning neural network (TabNet). This study used self-supervised learning to help the TabNet model speed up convergence and maintain stability. We also used feature engineering methods to alleviate the uncertainty caused by seasonal changes in rainfall forecasts. The experiment used 5 years of meteorological data from 26 stations in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region of China to verify the proposed rainfall forecast model. The comparative experiment proved that our proposed method improves the performance of the model, and that the basic model used is also superior to other traditional models. This research provides a high-performance method for rainfall prediction and provides a reference for similar data-mining tasks.

Keyword:

rainfall forecast machine learning TabNet neural networks data mining

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Yan, Jianzhuo]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Engn Res Ctr Digital Community, Minist Educ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Xu, Tianyu]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Engn Res Ctr Digital Community, Minist Educ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Yu, Yongchuan]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Engn Res Ctr Digital Community, Minist Educ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Xu, Hongxia]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Engn Res Ctr Digital Community, Minist Educ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Yu, Yongchuan]Beijing Univ Technol, Fac Informat Technol, Engn Res Ctr Digital Community, Minist Educ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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Source :

WATER

Year: 2021

Issue: 9

Volume: 13

3 . 4 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: ENVIRONMENT/ECOLOGY;

ESI HC Threshold:94

JCR Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 28

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

Affiliated Colleges:

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