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作者:

Chen, Yanyan (Chen, Yanyan.) (学者:陈艳艳) | Jin, Zeqian (Jin, Zeqian.) | Li, Chen (Li, Chen.)

收录:

CPCI-S

摘要:

Trip purpose is vital to infer travel behavior and predict travel demand for transportation planning. Therefore, trip purpose prediction has been becoming an important field of research that can improve people's travel efficiency through travel information, such as travel mode, time, location and so on. However, there are a few challenges linked with collecting data via the surveys and the spatial complexity of human travel. To solve the above problems effectively, the study adopts GPS data and land use data and proposes a machine learning method and prediction model as forecasting process. The prediction model is used to automatically predict trip purpose, while the machine learning method is used to constantly updating the prediction model, based on surveys from participants. Compared with traditional models, the method can significantly improve destination prediction accuracy by dynamically updating. In addition, the estimation model is developed employing the Markov model, the structure of model can use for a short training period. Meanwhile, the research can apply to crowded place analysis or in trip distribution prediction, which shows a broad application in transportation planning and management.

关键词:

land use machine learning Trip purpose prediction Markov model GPS data

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, Yanyan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Engn Res Ctr Urban Transport Operat Guara, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Jin, Zeqian]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Engn Res Ctr Urban Transport Operat Guara, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Li, Chen]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Engn Res Ctr Urban Transport Operat Guara, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • 陈艳艳

    [Chen, Yanyan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Engn Res Ctr Urban Transport Operat Guara, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

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来源 :

2020 IEEE 5TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION ENGINEERING (IEEE ICITE 2020)

年份: 2020

页码: 55-59

语种: 英文

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