• 综合
  • 标题
  • 关键词
  • 摘要
  • 学者
  • 期刊-刊名
  • 期刊-ISSN
  • 会议名称
搜索

作者:

Zhang, Zhiyong (Zhang, Zhiyong.) | Liang, Tianwen (Liang, Tianwen.)

收录:

CPCI-S

摘要:

The short-term forecasting of passenger flow on the metro platform is the decision-making basis and technical support for the operation and management of metro. In this paper, we developed an improved Kalman filter model to forecast short-term (15 min) passenger fluctuations after analyzing the characteristic of metro platform. The model illustration was conducted on the island, side, regular, and transfer metro platform in Beijing, respectively. Compared with the traditional Kalman filter model, the results showed that the average absolute error of the model was 0.299, the mean square error was 34.094, and the equal coefficient was 0.923, indicating that the proposed model could effectively predict the short-term passenger on the metro platform. Compared with the traditional Kalman filter method, the model presented in this paper can improve the real-time prediction accuracy and reduce the average absolute error by 0.448. These insights will help build more prosperous and sustainable metro systems.

关键词:

Subway Kalman filter Short-term passenger flow forecasting

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang, Zhiyong]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100125, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Liang, Tianwen]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100125, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Liang, Tianwen]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, 100 Pingleyuan, Beijing 100125, Peoples R China

查看成果更多字段

相关关键词:

相关文章:

来源 :

CICTP 2019: TRANSPORTATION IN CHINA-CONNECTING THE WORLD

年份: 2019

页码: 2789-2801

语种: 英文

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 1

SCOPUS被引频次:

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

近30日浏览量: 0

在线人数/总访问数:128/4715329
地址:北京工业大学图书馆(北京市朝阳区平乐园100号 邮编:100124) 联系我们:010-67392185
版权所有:北京工业大学图书馆 站点建设与维护:北京爱琴海乐之技术有限公司