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Multiphase characteristics and auto-and-cross correlation between process variables are two critical issues to be addressed for fermentation process monitoring. A method namely multi-phases dynamic PCA is proposed to investigate these two non-negligible issues. We introduced Affinity Propagation (AP) clustering to solve the problem of unequal length in batch process, and to optimize the clustering number of AP method, Silhouette index is applied. After phase division, autoregressive-PCA (AR-PCA) model is structured to remove auto and cross correlation in each phase. Model order is determined using Akanke information criterion (AIC) and the model parameters are estimated by PLS method. Additionally, to improve the fault detection effectiveness, normal historical data is introduced to structure AR-PCA model when monitoring the new batch. The experiment result of penicillin cultivation process indicates the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.
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