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作者:

Pan, Yuyan (Pan, Yuyan.) | Guo, Jifu (Guo, Jifu.) | Chen, Yanyan (Chen, Yanyan.) (学者:陈艳艳)

收录:

Scopus SCIE

摘要:

Volume-delay functions (VDF) are the critical building block in static traffic assignment and general demand-supply analysis. This paper aims to provide a rolling horizon-based modeling framework to establish and further calibrate dynamic VDF (DVDF) for a corridor. The development and application of classic VDF in recent traffic planning studies are first reviewed. Analytical formulas based on a rolling horizon framework are then developed to redefine critical elements in the Bureau of Public Roads (BPR) function to capture the time-dependent volume-delay relationship. Time-dependent average demand and discharge rate are used in a real-world bottleneck in oversaturated conditions. By constructing an estimate or approximate for the dynamic degree of saturation, the proposed method could (i) better interpret the underlying mechanism of the time-dependent demand-delay function; (ii) provide a valuable tool to estimate the speed for a time rolling horizon with given real-time data in practice, and (iii) analyze the correlation between a bottleneck and upstream or downstream on a road network to acquire accurate discharge rates for different situations. Experiments using corridors in Beijing and Los Angeles demonstrate that the proposed dynamic analytical methods can outperform the traditional BPR function in dynamic congestion cases. The results improve the DVDF goodness-of-fit from R 2 of 44% to 87% under different conditions, which sheds more light on future online traffic simulation applications.

关键词:

dynamic travel transportation demand management planning and analysis corridor management congestion mitigation

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Pan, Yuyan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Chen, Yanyan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Guo, Jifu]Beijing Transport Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • 陈艳艳

    [Chen, Yanyan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China

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来源 :

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD

ISSN: 0361-1981

年份: 2021

期: 2

卷: 2676

页码: 606-620

1 . 7 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: ENGINEERING;

ESI高被引阀值:87

JCR分区:3

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 5

SCOPUS被引频次: 6

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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