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作者:

Sun, Zhiyuan (Sun, Zhiyuan.) | Xing, Yuxuan (Xing, Yuxuan.) | Wang, Jianyu (Wang, Jianyu.) | Gu, Xin (Gu, Xin.) | Lu, Huapu (Lu, Huapu.) | Chen, Yanyan (Chen, Yanyan.) (学者:陈艳艳)

收录:

SSCI Scopus

摘要:

Bicycle-motor vehicle (BMV) crashes have been identified as a major type of traffic accident affecting transportation safety. In order to determine the characteristics of BMV crashes in cold regions, this study presents an analysis using police-reported data from 2015 to 2017 on BMV crashes in Shenyang, China. A two-stage approach integrating latent class analysis (LCA) and the random parameter logit (RP-logit) model is proposed to identify specific crash groups and explore their contributing factors. First, LCA was used to classify data into several homogenous clusters, and then the RP-logit model was established to identify significant factors in the whole data model and the cluster-based model from LCA. The proposed two-stage approach can maximize the heterogeneity effects both among clusters and within clusters. Results show that three significant factors in the cluster-based model are obscured by the whole data model in which male cyclists are associated with a higher risk of fatality, especially in the winter. Additionally, differences exist in the exploration of factors due to the characteristics of clusters; thus, countermeasures for specific crash groups should be implemented. This research can provide references for regulators to develop targeted policies and reduce injury severity in BMV crashes in cold regions.

关键词:

random parameter logit model injury severity latent class analysis bicycle-motor vehicle crashes

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Sun, Zhiyuan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Xing, Yuxuan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Gu, Xin]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Chen, Yanyan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Wang, Jianyu]Tsinghua Univ, Inst Transportat Engn & Geomat, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Lu, Huapu]Tsinghua Univ, Inst Transportat Engn & Geomat, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Wang, Jianyu]Tsinghua Univ, Inst Transportat Engn & Geomat, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China

电子邮件地址:

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来源 :

JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION SAFETY & SECURITY

ISSN: 1943-9962

年份: 2021

期: 11

卷: 14

页码: 1838-1864

JCR分区:4

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 0

SCOPUS被引频次: 14

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

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