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作者:

Sun, Zhiyuan (Sun, Zhiyuan.) | Xing, Yuxuan (Xing, Yuxuan.) | Wang, Jianyu (Wang, Jianyu.) | Gu, Xin (Gu, Xin.) | Lu, Huapu (Lu, Huapu.) | Chen, Yanyan (Chen, Yanyan.)

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SSCI EI Scopus SCIE

摘要:

Recently, vulnerable road user to motor vehicle (VRU-MV) crashes have been the focus of much attention. Data from Shenyang, China were used for crashes analysis and significant differences existed in VRU-MV crashes across seasons. Therefore, this study analysed three crash datasets (whole, "spring & summer", "fall & winter") by using a hybrid method integrating random parameter logit (RP-logit) model and Bayesian network (BN). First, RP-logit model was established to find out significant factors and heterogeneity considering those three datasets. Second, significant factors identified from RP-logit model were utilized to establish a BN to investigate statistical associations between injury severity and explanatory attributes. Results showed seven significant factors were found in "spring & summer" dataset while five significant factors in "fall & winter" dataset, four hidden factors were found by comparative analysis of those three datasets. Besides, five factors were found to be random and normally distributed. Results of BN indicated that some factors could significantly increase high possibility of fatality when combined with other factors. For example, functional zone (ZON) in "spring & summer" dataset and motor vehicle type (MVT) in "fall & winter" dataset. The proposed hybrid method demonstrated both the consistence of methods (RP-logit model & BN) and the differences across seasons for VRU-MV crashes analysis. Three personalized factors including physical isolation (PI), crash type (CT) and motor vehicle type (MVT) made great differences across seasons.

关键词:

Random parameter logit model Injury severity Vulnerable road user Bayesian network

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Sun, Zhiyuan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Xing, Yuxuan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Gu, Xin]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Chen, Yanyan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Wang, Jianyu]Beijing Univ Civil Engn & Architecture, Beijing Key Lab Gen Aviat Technol, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Lu, Huapu]Tsinghua Univ, Inst Transportat Engn & Geomat, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China

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来源 :

SAFETY SCIENCE

ISSN: 0925-7535

年份: 2022

卷: 150

6 . 1

JCR@2022

6 . 1 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: ENGINEERING;

ESI高被引阀值:49

JCR分区:1

中科院分区:2

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 30

SCOPUS被引频次: 31

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

近30日浏览量: 4

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