收录:
摘要:
For time-variant imprecise reliability problem with parameterized probability-box (p-box), determining the upper and lower bounds of time-variant failure probability is usually more of concern for engineers. To compute these two bounds, this paper proposes a new extreme value moment method (EVMM) combining adaptive Kriging model. In the proposed method, the adaptive Kriging models are first employed to approximate limit state function (LSF) responses and the predicted values are mapped into the extreme value function (EVF) counterparts. Then, the weighted approach based on sparse grid numerical integration (WA-SGNI) is developed to estimate the statistical moments of the approximated EVF responses. The resulting moments are further used to decouple the calculation of bounds of time-variant failure probability into two deterministic optimization problems. The accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method for time-variant imprecise reliability analysis are demonstrated through three numerical examples with LSFs involving non-Gaussian processes and finite element analysis.
关键词:
通讯作者信息:
电子邮件地址:
来源 :
MECHANICAL SYSTEMS AND SIGNAL PROCESSING
ISSN: 0888-3270
年份: 2022
卷: 171
8 . 4
JCR@2022
8 . 4 0 0
JCR@2022
ESI学科: ENGINEERING;
ESI高被引阀值:49
JCR分区:1
中科院分区:1
归属院系: