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作者:

Wu, Yufeng (Wu, Yufeng.) (学者:吴玉锋) | Yang, Liuyang (Yang, Liuyang.) | Tian, Xi (Tian, Xi.) | Li, Yanmei (Li, Yanmei.) (学者:李艳梅) | Zuo, Tieyong (Zuo, Tieyong.) (学者:左铁镛)

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EI Scopus SCIE

摘要:

This study aims to model the temporal and spatial characteristics of end-of-life (EOL) power batteries from electric vehicles (EVs) in China. A Stanford estimation model is used, assuming that the lifetime of power batteries obeys a Weibull distribution. We collected the sales data for two types of power batteries used in four types of EVs from 2009 to 2018 in mainland China and predicted the sales data from 2019 to 2030 according to the Chinese government's plan. The results present a complete picture of EOL batteries in China: (1) the generation of retired power batteries in China is predicted from 2020 to 2036, including 112 k tonnes in 2020 and 708 k tonnes in 2030; (2) the potential economic value of retired batteries for echelon and recovery utilization is analyzed; and (3) the generation of retired power batteries in 20 provinces was estimated and compared with their collection station numbers. Considering the weight of different batteries and the service life increase caused by technology upgrades, our predictions for the quantity of retired batteries are lower and more accurate than others' predictions. Large-scale battery retirement will come later than previously anticipated. We should plan the number of recycling sites in main provinces based on the accurate retired amount

关键词:

End-of-life power Battery Material flow analysis China EVs

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Wu, Yufeng]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Circular Econ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Yanmei]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Circular Econ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zuo, Tieyong]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Circular Econ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Tian, Xi]Nanchang Univ, Res Ctr Cent China Econ & Social Dev, Nanchang 330031, Jiangxi, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Tian, Xi]Nanchang Univ, Jiangxi Ecol Civilizat Res Inst, Nanchang 330031, Jiangxi, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Yang, Liuyang]Nanchang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Nanchang 330031, Jiangxi, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Tian, Xi]Nanchang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Nanchang 330031, Jiangxi, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Tian, Xi]Nanchang Univ, Res Ctr Cent China Econ & Social Dev, Nanchang 330031, Jiangxi, Peoples R China;;[Tian, Xi]Nanchang Univ, Jiangxi Ecol Civilizat Res Inst, Nanchang 330031, Jiangxi, Peoples R China;;[Tian, Xi]Nanchang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Nanchang 330031, Jiangxi, Peoples R China

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来源 :

RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING

ISSN: 0921-3449

年份: 2020

卷: 155

1 3 . 2 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: ENVIRONMENT/ECOLOGY;

ESI高被引阀值:138

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 61

SCOPUS被引频次: 76

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

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