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作者:

Xue, Yunqiang (Xue, Yunqiang.) | Cheng, Lin (Cheng, Lin.) | Wang, Kuang (Wang, Kuang.) | An, Jing (An, Jing.) | Guan, Hongzhi (Guan, Hongzhi.) (学者:关宏志)

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SSCI Scopus SCIE

摘要:

In order to systematically analyze the benefits of transit metropolis construction, the system dynamics (SD) theory was used to construct the transit metropolis SD simulation model from the four subsystems of economy, society, environment, and transportation supply and demand. The validity of the SD model was verified by the social and economic data of Nanchang City and the operational data of the bus company, and the quantitative simulation analysis was carried out by taking the construction of the transit metropolis in Nanchang as an example. The simulation results show that, in 2020, the number of motor vehicles in Nanchang will reach 1.13 million and the urban population will reach 5.71 million. It is necessary to build a transit metropolis for the sustainable development of urban transportation. In order to complete the transit metropolis creation goal of 60% of the public transit mobility sharing rate, the proportion of public transport investment in the total transportation investment needs to be adjusted from 0.25 to 0.35. As a result, Nanchang City will improve after the peak traffic congestion in 2022, indicating that the construction of the transit metropolis will have a positive effect on Nanchang. By developing new energy vehicles and low-emission vehicles, vehicle emissions will drop from 0.05 tons/year to 0.04 tons/year, and overall nitrogen oxide emissions will fall by 70%, which is significant for urban environments. The research results provide theoretical support for the significance of transit metropolis construction, and promote the sustainable development of urban transportation.

关键词:

system dynamics urban transportation sustainable development modelling and simulation transit metropolis

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Xue, Yunqiang]East China JiaoTong Univ, Coll Transportat & Logist, Nanchang 330013, Jiangxi, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Wang, Kuang]East China JiaoTong Univ, Coll Transportat & Logist, Nanchang 330013, Jiangxi, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [An, Jing]East China JiaoTong Univ, Coll Transportat & Logist, Nanchang 330013, Jiangxi, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Guan, Hongzhi]East China JiaoTong Univ, Coll Transportat & Logist, Nanchang 330013, Jiangxi, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Xue, Yunqiang]Southeast Univ, Sch Transportat, Nanjing 210096, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Cheng, Lin]Southeast Univ, Sch Transportat, Nanjing 210096, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Xue, Yunqiang]High Speed Rail & Reg Dev Res Ctr Jiangxi Prov, Nanchang 330013, Jiangxi, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Guan, Hongzhi]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Civil Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Xue, Yunqiang]East China JiaoTong Univ, Coll Transportat & Logist, Nanchang 330013, Jiangxi, Peoples R China;;[Xue, Yunqiang]Southeast Univ, Sch Transportat, Nanjing 210096, Peoples R China;;[Xue, Yunqiang]High Speed Rail & Reg Dev Res Ctr Jiangxi Prov, Nanchang 330013, Jiangxi, Peoples R China

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来源 :

SUSTAINABILITY

年份: 2020

期: 7

卷: 12

3 . 9 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: ENVIRONMENT/ECOLOGY;

ESI高被引阀值:138

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 3

SCOPUS被引频次: 8

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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