收录:
摘要:
Time-dependent system reliability analysis still faces severe challenges including the simultaneous consideration of time-dependent uncertainties under multiple failure modes and the accurate estimation of small failure probability. Therefore, this paper proposes a nested single-loop Kriging (NSLK) model coupled with subset simulation (SS) method, named NSLK-co-SS, for time-dependent system reliability assessment. Firstly, based on the rationale of SS method, the small time-dependent system failure probability is converted into the product of a series of large intermediate failure probabilities by introducing a series of intermediate failure events. Then, by reformulating the time-dependent system reliability problem as a nested system reliability one, the NSLK method is developed to estimate each intermediate failure probability. Meanwhile, a system reliability theory-based U (SYSU) learning function is proposed to identify both the best training sample and mode and sequentially update the Kriging models of multiple modes in a series of small intermediate sample pools. Two numerical examples and an engineering example were investigated to demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method.
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来源 :
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY
ISSN: 0951-8320
年份: 2022
卷: 228
8 . 1
JCR@2022
8 . 1 0 0
JCR@2022
ESI学科: ENGINEERING;
ESI高被引阀值:49
JCR分区:1
中科院分区:1
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