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Author:

Zhou, Xuanru (Zhou, Xuanru.) | Zhang, Hua (Zhang, Hua.) | Zheng, Shuxian (Zheng, Shuxian.) | Xing, Wanli (Xing, Wanli.) | Yang, Hanshi (Yang, Hanshi.) | Zhao, Yifan (Zhao, Yifan.)

Indexed by:

SSCI EI Scopus

Abstract:

Critical Mineral is the important material basis for achieving carbon neutrality. Under a low-carbon scenario, the demand for nickel in the new energy will grow rapidly, which may lead to supply shortages. Under the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the nickel trade changes frequently and the trade will become more complicated. To clarify the risk transmission mechanism, based on the nickel products trade data of UN COMTRADE, this paper combines econometrics and complex network methods to construct the Global Nickel Industry Chain Trade Behavior Transmission Network (GNICTBTN). The research shows that the Main Transmission System of the GNICTBTN includes 18 countries and 25 trade links, of which 6 trade links need to be paid attention to in the middle and early stages of trade changes, and it indicates that nickel resource is at risk of being monopolized by middlemen. This study distinguishes the industrial chain structure of seven key countries, and finds that the relevance of trade links is closely related to trading transmission risk. According to GNICTBTN, we predict that the Russia -Ukraine conflict will affect the developing countries in the Asia-Pacific region and developed countries in Europe and USA in short term, and repeatedly affects the main transmission system for longer.

Keyword:

Granger causality network Trade behavior transmission Nickel industrial chain Correlation

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhou, Xuanru]China Univ Geosci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Hua]China Univ Geosci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zheng, Shuxian]China Univ Min & Technol, Sch Management, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Xing, Wanli]China Geol Survey, Dev Res Ctr, Beijing 100037, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Yang, Hanshi]Chongqing Univ, Sch Automat, Chongqing 400044, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Zhao, Yifan]Beijing Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Zhang, Hua]China Univ Geosci, Sch Econ & Management, 29 Xueyuan Rd, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Xing, Wanli]China Geol Survey, Dev Res Ctr, 45 Fuwai St, Beijing 100037, Peoples R China

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Source :

RESOURCES POLICY

ISSN: 0301-4207

Year: 2023

Volume: 81

ESI Discipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES, GENERAL;

ESI HC Threshold:9

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 13

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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