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作者:

Sun, Zhiyuan (Sun, Zhiyuan.) | Wang, Duo (Wang, Duo.) | Gu, Xin (Gu, Xin.) | Abdel-Aty, Mohamed (Abdel-Aty, Mohamed.) | Xing, Yuxuan (Xing, Yuxuan.) | Wang, Jianyu (Wang, Jianyu.) | Lu, Huapu (Lu, Huapu.) | Chen, Yanyan (Chen, Yanyan.)

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SSCI EI Scopus

摘要:

Vulnerable road users (VRUs) involved crashes are a major road safety concern due to the high likelihood of fatal and severe injury. The use of data-driven methods and heterogeneity models separately have limitations in crash data analysis. This study develops a hybrid approach of Random Forest based SHAP algorithm (RF-SHAP) and random parameters logit modeling framework to explore significant factors and identify the underlying interaction effects on injury severity of VRUs-involved crashes in Shenyang (China) from 2015 to 2017. The results show that the hybrid approach can uncover more underlying causality, which not only quantifies the impact of individual factors on injury severity, but also finds the interaction effects between the factors with random parameters and fixed parameters. Seven factors are found to have significant effect on crash injury severity. Two factors, including primary roads and rural areas produce random parameters. The interaction effects reveal interesting combination features. For example, even though rural areas and primary roads increase the likelihood of fatal crash occurrence individually, the interaction effect of the two factors decreases the likelihood of being fatal. The findings form the foundation for developing safety countermeasures targeted at specific crash groups for reducing fatalities in future crashes.

关键词:

Random Forest based SHAP Injury severity Interaction effects Random parameters logit modeling framework

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Sun, Zhiyuan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Wang, Duo]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Gu, Xin]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Xing, Yuxuan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Chen, Yanyan]Beijing Univ Technol, Beijing Key Lab Traff Engn, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Abdel-Aty, Mohamed]Univ Cent Florida, Dept Civil Environm & Construct Engn, Orlando, FL 32816 USA
  • [ 7 ] [Wang, Jianyu]Beijing Univ Civil Engn & Architecture, Beijing Key Lab Gen Aviat Technol, Beijing 102616, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Lu, Huapu]Tsinghua Univ, Inst Transportat Engn, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China

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来源 :

ACCIDENT ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION

ISSN: 0001-4575

年份: 2023

卷: 192

ESI学科: SOCIAL SCIENCES, GENERAL;

ESI高被引阀值:9

被引次数:

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SCOPUS被引频次: 34

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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