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作者:

Qiao, Jun-Fei (Qiao, Jun-Fei.) (学者:乔俊飞) | Zhang, Li (Zhang, Li.) | Li, Wen-Jing (Li, Wen-Jing.)

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EI Scopus PKU CSCD

摘要:

Short-term prediction of water demand provides basic guarantee for water supply system operation and management. In this study, an effective model for daily water demand forecasting is proposed. Firstly, principle component analysis(PCA) is utilized to simplify the complexity and reduce the correlation between influence variables, and the score values of selected principle components(PCs) turn into the irrelevant input data of fuzzy neural network(FNN), which models the prediction of water demand. Moreover, an improved Levenberg-Marquardt(ILM) algorithm is employed to optimize the parameters of FNN simultaneously, the problems of heavy computing burden and limited memory space can be solved. Most of all, a growing-pruning mechanism based on spiking integrate-and-fire(IF) model is applied to FNN in order to realize structural self-organization. Finally, contrast experiments are implemented to demonstrate that the spiking self-organizing fuzzy neural network(SSOFNN) has better prediction performance and capability to handle practical issues. © 2018, Editorial Office of Control and Decision. All right reserved.

关键词:

Forecasting Fuzzy inference Fuzzy logic Fuzzy neural networks Water supply Water supply systems

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Qiao, Jun-Fei]Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Qiao, Jun-Fei]Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhang, Li]Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhang, Li]Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Li, Wen-Jing]Faculty of Information Technology, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 6 ] [Li, Wen-Jing]Beijing Key Laboratory of Computational Intelligence and Intelligent System, Beijing; 100124, China

通讯作者信息:

  • 乔俊飞

    [qiao, jun-fei]faculty of information technology, beijing university of technology, beijing; 100124, china;;[qiao, jun-fei]beijing key laboratory of computational intelligence and intelligent system, beijing; 100124, china

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来源 :

Control and Decision

ISSN: 1001-0920

年份: 2018

期: 12

卷: 33

页码: 2197-2202

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 0

SCOPUS被引频次: 2

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

万方被引频次:

中文被引频次:

近30日浏览量: 2

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