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Author:

Li, Pei-Pei (Li, Pei-Pei.) | Zhang, Yi (Zhang, Yi.) | Zhao, Yan-Gang (Zhao, Yan-Gang.) | Zhao, Zhao (Zhao, Zhao.) | Cai, Enjian (Cai, Enjian.)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Reliability updating of structures is computationally demanding, especially when the likelihood function in-volves inverse analysis and needs to be updated multiple times. In this study, a novel efficient approach for updating the failure probability based on the method of moments and information reuse is proposed. Instead of updating the failure probability using newly obtained posterior distributions, the proposed method transforms the estimate of posterior failure probability into a computation of the reliability index based on the posterior moments of the limit-state function at each update. When calculating these posterior moments, the terms con-taining the likelihood function are separated from the limit-state function analysis and then the bivariate dimension-reduction method (BDRM) in combination with the point estimate method (PEM) [1,2] is used to conduct the calculation. In this way, the results evaluated in the first updating time can be reused to update the probability of failure in the subsequent updates, avoiding the need to reconduct limit-state function analysis and inverse analysis using the posterior samples, thus improving computational efficiency. Four numerical examples are presented to validate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method, and the results indicate that the proposed method has obvious computational advantages for multiple reliability updating problems without loss of accuracy.

Keyword:

Bivariate dimension-reduction method Information reuse Method of moments Point estimate method Inverse analysis Reliability updating

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Pei-Pei]Tsinghua Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Yi]Tsinghua Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Cai, Enjian]Tsinghua Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhao, Yan-Gang]Beijing Univ Technol, Key Lab Urban Secur & Disaster Engn, Minist Educ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhao, Zhao]Natl Univ Singapore, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 1 Engn Dr 2, Singapore 117576, Singapore

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Source :

RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY

ISSN: 0951-8320

Year: 2023

Volume: 239

8 . 1 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:19

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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