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According to the influencing factors analysis of roads' emergency earthquake evacuating in key area, and study on basic ideas and principles of system dynamics, the dynamic feedback of earth-quake evacuation was analyzed from three aspects that disaster environment, road space, and personnel characteristics, then the road evacuation causal model and flow model based on system dynamics were established. Complied with the standard for urban planning on earthquake resistance and hazardous prevention for emergency shelter, evacuation roads and evacuation time, dynamic simulation on the road evacuation capabilities of crowded emergency evacuation area during the earthquake was conducted, related recommendations were given for key personnel-intensive area planning from the simulation results, to provide a reference for urban earthquake relief work. ©, 2015, Systems Engineering Society of China. All right reserved.
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