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作者:

Wang, Fei (Wang, Fei.) | Su, Jingyu (Su, Jingyu.) (学者:苏经宇) | Wang, Zhitao (Wang, Zhitao.)

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摘要:

The phenomenon of liquefaction is significant during the Wenchuan earthquake, and the gravel soil liquefaction has accounted for a large proportion of it. Due to the high dimensional complex nonlinear relationship between the gravel soil liquefaction and influencing factors, it is very challenging to meet the requirements of the speediness and high precision of gravel soil liquefaction due to the intrinsic defects of theoretical analysis and numerical calculation, therefore, a new prediction method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR model), as a probabilistic kernel leaning machine and powerful tool for solving highly nonlinear problems, which is proposed for the liquefaction forecast of seismic gravel soil. Six measured indicators of gravel soil liquefaction were selected as key impacting indicators to predict the main impact factor, including earthquake intensity EI, the peak acceleration of earthquake PGA, the depth of gravel layer ds, groundwater level dw, effective overburden pressure σv', and shear wave velocity Vs. Firstly, 37 groups typical cases were collected as the training sample and 8 groups typical cases were defined as the test sample, which has enter the test sample and output the prediction probability from the GPR model. Secondly, the SVM method, PLS method, MLR method, LSSVM method and RF method were chosen to verify the validity and reliability of GPR model. Finally, a example analysis show that the method is feasible, effective and simple to implement, which also provide a new way for the liquefaction prediction of seismic gravel soil. Copyright © 2015 Binary Information Press.

关键词:

Artificial intelligence Earthquakes Forecasting Gaussian distribution Gaussian noise (electronic) Geophysics Gravel Groundwater Learning systems Numerical methods Regression analysis Seismology Shear flow Shear waves Soil liquefaction Soils Wave propagation

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Wang, Fei]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
  • [ 2 ] [Su, Jingyu]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Zhitao]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China

通讯作者信息:

  • [wang, fei]institute of earthquake resistance and disaster reduction, beijing university of technology, beijing, china

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来源 :

Journal of Computational Information Systems

ISSN: 1553-9105

年份: 2015

期: 21

卷: 11

页码: 7883-7891

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