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作者:

Xie, Yang (Xie, Yang.) | Liu, Xiaorui (Liu, Xiaorui.) | Li, Danyang (Li, Danyang.) | Zhao, Mengdan (Zhao, Mengdan.) | Weng, Zhixiong (Weng, Zhixiong.) | Zhang, Lin (Zhang, Lin.) | Xu, Meng (Xu, Meng.)

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Scopus SCIE

摘要:

The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau (GBA) metropolitan of China is pioneering in realizing environment-friendly development. However, health and economic burden attributed to air pollution under different climate and end-of-pipe control scenarios has not been evaluated. This study applies the IMED|CGE, WRF-Chem and IMED|HEL models assess PM2.5- and O3-associated health and economic consequences. Results demonstrate that PM2.5 concentration in 2050 will drop by 12.9% and 56.4% under 1.5 degrees C target and end-of-pipe technology, respectively, contributing to 7.7% and 35.6% decreases in mortality and 67.3% and 97.9% reductions in morbidity. The O3 concentration will decrease by 8.3% and 13.3%, respectively, contributing to 10.4% and 15.2% drops in mortality and 10.8% and 15.8% declines in morbidity. Besides, the health loss saved by alleviating PM2.5 and O3 pollution using end-of-pipe technologies is remarkable, amounting to 31.0 and 9.3 billion USD in 2050, respectively. It suggests that O3 pollution in GBA is difficult to be addressed and higher levels of end-of-pipe technology progress should be deployed to obtain significant co-benefits.

关键词:

Air quality Metropolitan Economic effect Air pollution control Climate change mitigation Health impact

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Xie, Yang]Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhao, Mengdan]Beihang Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Xie, Yang]Beihang Univ, Lab Low Carbon Intelligent Governance, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Liu, Xiaorui]China Elect Power Res Inst, Beijing 100192, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Liu, Xiaorui]Peking Univ, Coll Environm Sci & Engn, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Li, Danyang]Peking Univ, Sch Phys, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Zhang, Lin]Peking Univ, Sch Phys, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Weng, Zhixiong]Beijing Univ Technol, Inst Circular Econ, Beijing 100124, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Xu, Meng]Wuhan Inst Technol, Sch Management, Wuhan 430205, Peoples R China

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来源 :

URBAN CLIMATE

ISSN: 2212-0955

年份: 2023

卷: 52

6 . 4 0 0

JCR@2022

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 5

SCOPUS被引频次: 7

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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