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作者:

Liu, Chaofeng (Liu, Chaofeng.) | Su, Jingyu (Su, Jingyu.) (学者:苏经宇) | Wang, Wei (Wang, Wei.) (学者:王伟) | Zuo, Xiangjun (Zuo, Xiangjun.)

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摘要:

Regional comprehensive disaster prevention system is an open, extremely complex giant system. Continuous development and evolution of the complex system was prompted by complex nonlinear interaction between the groups. Its evolution followed the generalized entropy principle. From the macro-structure of regional integrated disaster prevention system and information perspective, regional comprehensive disaster prevention system was regarded as a real and information process. By introducing the maximum entropy and maximum flow principle, the information dynamics model for evolution of the regional integrated disaster prevention system was established to describe and control its evolution, and the numerical simulation of the model was achieved in combination with self-organizing feature map network. The model reveals the laws of dynamics on the formation and evolution of the structure pattern of regional comprehensive disaster prevention system. The integrated earthquake disaster prevention system of Nantong city during 2002-2008 was studied as a typical example for numerical simulation and network structure analysis. The results show that the system structure ξ increases from 0.06 to 4.19 year by year, and the connection weights are rationalized. The system structure is stable equilibrium. Then the feasibility and rationality of the model is verified. It provides a new way of thinking for assessment, prediction and regulation of the evolution of the regional disaster prevention system. ©, 2015, Central South University of Technology. All right reserved.

关键词:

Classifiers Complex networks Conformal mapping Disaster prevention Disasters Dynamics Entropy Numerical models Self organizing maps Structured programming

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, Chaofeng]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 2 ] [Liu, Chaofeng]College of Civil Engineering, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin; 300401, China
  • [ 3 ] [Su, Jingyu]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Wei]Institute of Earthquake Resistance and Disaster Reduction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing; 100124, China
  • [ 5 ] [Zuo, Xiangjun]College of Economics and Management, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin; 300401, China

通讯作者信息:

  • [liu, chaofeng]institute of earthquake resistance and disaster reduction, beijing university of technology, beijing; 100124, china;;[liu, chaofeng]college of civil engineering, hebei university of technology, tianjin; 300401, china

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来源 :

Journal of Central South University (Science and Technology)

ISSN: 1672-7207

年份: 2015

期: 3

卷: 46

页码: 933-940

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