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作者:

Chu, Haibo (Chu, Haibo.) | Wei, Jiahua (Wei, Jiahua.) | Wu, Wenyan (Wu, Wenyan.)

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EI Scopus SCIE

摘要:

Streamflow prediction is a challenging task due to the different processes involved in streamflow generation. These different processes have different characteristics of the relationships between hydro-meteorological variables and streamflow, which make it a challenging task to develop single data-driven stream flow prediction models that can map the input-output relationships for all different streamflow regimes. To improve the performance of streamflow prediction, we proposed a flow-regime-dependent approach to map the relationships between hydro-meteorological variables and streamflow based on hydro-meteorological condition classification. This approach integrates the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), Fuzzy C-means (FCM) and Deep Belief Networks (DBN) and therefore referred to as the LASSO-FCM-DBN approach. This approach employs LASSO to select the hydro-meteorological variables which have a significant impact on streamflow, FCM to identify different streamflow regimes, and DBN as a data-driven model to map the nonlinear and complex relationships between the selected hydro-meteorological variables and streamflow within different flow regimes. To assess the performance of the proposed approach, two comparative studies were carried out - 1) the multivariable FCM was compared to the traditional single-variable threshold-based method; and 2) the performance of the DBN was compared to a traditional Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) model. Two stations in the Tennessee River, USA were used as the case study. The results demonstrate that the performance of the multivariable-based FCM classification method is better and more stable than the traditional threshold-based single-variable method, due to the sensitivity of the single-variable method to different threshold values. In addition, DBNs performed better than traditional ANNs in all three statistical measures considered. Overall, the LASSO-FCM-DBN multi-model system significantly improved the performance of streamflow prediction and is therefore a valuable tool for water resources management and planning.

关键词:

Classification Deep Belief Networks Fuzzy C-means LASSO Streamflow prediction

作者机构:

  • [ 1 ] [Chu, Haibo]Tsinghua Univ, State Key Lab Hydrosci & Engn, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Wei, Jiahua]Tsinghua Univ, State Key Lab Hydrosci & Engn, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Wei, Jiahua]Qinghai Univ, State Key Lab Plateau Ecol & Agr, Xining 810016, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Wu, Wenyan]Univ Melbourne, Dept Infrastruct Engn, Melbourne, Vic 3010, Australia
  • [ 5 ] [Chu, Haibo]Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Civil Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China

通讯作者信息:

  • [Wei, Jiahua]Qinghai Univ, State Key Lab Plateau Ecol & Agr, Xining 810016, Peoples R China

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来源 :

JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY

ISSN: 0022-1694

年份: 2020

卷: 580

6 . 4 0 0

JCR@2022

ESI学科: ENGINEERING;

ESI高被引阀值:28

JCR分区:1

被引次数:

WoS核心集被引频次: 30

SCOPUS被引频次: 35

ESI高被引论文在榜: 0 展开所有

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